From Joseph Jones
[ca. 15 December 1796]
Yours of the 11th. by this days mail I have recd. with the papers inclosed. I find nothing new from Europe. Mifflin has very fully stated to the legislature the ground of his conduct respecting the choice of Electors and will no doubt meet the public approbation.1 It is to be hoped an investigation of the bus[i]ness will take place if there shall be reason to think any unfairness has been practiced that the truth may come out and the public censure fall on those who are to blame if such there are. As yet there appears to be great uncertainty who will be the President—the probabi[li]ty is that if Vermont has no choice that J. will have the majority necessary to his appointmt. If the votes of that State shall be admitted I fear his Antagonist will prevail.2 I still hope it will devolve on the Representatives where we are taugh[t] to believe a sufft. number of the States will be in his favor. The P. in his speech seems to think the honor of the nation wounded by Adets free censures—there appears to be some gaul in the composition but it is thought by the Friends of that Republic to contain plain truths however roughly exhibited. What with the gloomy prospect presented by the present posture of French affairs as it respects America—the diminution of the British markets in Europe and their pouring in upon us their manufactures, together with the real scarsity of money, and the hazard of our exports finding a convenient market, it will be fortunate if great failures do not happen among us—already it is said some have happened in Baltimore and similar evils expected in ev⟨e⟩ry quarter of the Union—the great surplus of goods beyond the necessary demand must lye in the hands of the Merchts.—they must pay or abide the consequence and poor America become the Drs. for those manufactures Britain could not vend elsewhere. I go in the morning to Loudoun for abt. ten days—your favors will meet me on my return. Yr. friend
RC (DLC). Docketed “1796” by JM at a later time. Dated November–December 1796 in the Index to the James Madison Papers. Conjectural date here assigned on the basis of internal evidence.
1. Pennsylvania law required all returns for presidential electors to be sent to the governor’s office within fourteen days of the election and that the governor proclaim the results. By the date due, 18 Nov. 1796, however, the counties of Fayette, Greene, and Westmoreland had sent no returns, and both Federalists and Republicans were claiming victory in a very close contest. Since the law made no provision for such circumstances, Gov. Thomas Mifflin referred his dilemma to the attorney general and the Supreme Court judges of Pennsylvania. They advised delay until 23 Nov., but even by then the delinquent returns had not arrived. The results for Fayette and Westmoreland counties appeared the next day, and on that basis Mifflin decided to announce that Republican candidates had won thirteen of the state’s fifteen presidential electors, a decision vigorously protested by the Federalists. The officially proclaimed electors cast their votes in Harrisburg on 7 Dec. 1796, and two days later Mifflin defended his conduct in his address to the Pennsylvania legislature (for Mifflin’s address, see Philadelphia Aurora General Advertiser, 10 Dec. 1796; for the background, see Tinkom, Republicans and Federalists in Pennsylvania, pp. 168–73).
2. On 12 Dec. 1796 the Philadelphia Aurora General Advertiser reported that the electoral votes of Vermont—equally divided between Adams and Pinckney—were probably illegal because of the absence of a proper state law under which the electors could act. Assuming that Vermont would have no vote, the newspaper then predicted that the election would be thrown into the House of Representatives where Jefferson could be chosen by a margin of nearly two to one in the ballots of the states.