I was two Days ago favored with yours of the 15th. Instant—it gives me Pleasure to find that the Probability of Virginia’s adopting the proposed Constitution rather encreases—such an Event would undoubtedly disarm the opposition. It appears by recent advices from Charleston that we may count on South Carolina, and the New Hampshire Delegates assure me that their State will come into the Measure.1

There is much Reason to believe that the Majority of the Convention of this State will be composed of anti fœderal Characters; but it is doubtful whether the Leaders will be able to govern the Party. many in the opposition are Friends to Union and mean well, but their principal Leaders are very far from being sollicitous about the Fate of the the Union—They wish and mean (if possible) to reject the Constitution with as little Debate and as much Speed as may be—It is not however certain that the greater part of their Party will be equally decided, or rather equally desperate.—An Idea had taken air, that the Southern part of the State will at all Events adhere to the Union, and if necessary to that End seek a Separation from the northern. This Idea has Influence on the Fears of the Party. I cannot find that they have as yet ^so^ looked forward to contingent Events, or even to those the most probable, as to have united in or formed any System adapted to them—With perfect Respect & Esteem I am Dear Sir your affecte. & hble Servt