James Madison Papers
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https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Madison/02-91-02-0033

To James Madison from Elias Vanderhorst, 21 April 1801

From Elias Vanderhorst, 21 April 1801

Bristol Apl. 21st. 1801.

Sir.

Since my last respects to you of the 18h. Ultmo. I have not been honored with any of your favors.

By the enclosed Papers (among which is a London Price Current) you’ll observe that two great events have ⟨la⟩tely occurred in the North of Europe. On their probable conse⟨q⟩uences however, I am unwilling even to conjecture but in a ⟨ve⟩ry limitt’d degree, well knowing that they open to us a field to wide & intricate for Politicians much more able than I am ⟨to⟩ form a satisfactory opinion on. I will therefore not attempt to ⟨un⟩till their Issue, ’though I must confess I am not myself a⟨s⟩ sanguine, as many here are, of their pacific result, but rather [. . .] fear the contrary, as I cannot but consider a part, at least ⟨of w⟩hat has happened, as much more calculated to irritate & inflame t⟨ha⟩n to convince & conciliate; we must however leave time to unfold [. . .] no human foresight can now penetrate. My wish is Peace ⟨bu⟩t I must acknowledge, that the Present State of things do not encrease ⟨my⟩ expectation of it. Provisions here continue to decline in price but unless the approaching season proves much more favorable ⟨than⟩ the Present (which has of late been most uncommonly wet & cold) ⟨I mu⟩ch apprehend it will not be lasting. I remain with great ⟨Respe⟩ct, Sir, Your faithful & Obed. Servt.

Elias Vander Horst

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